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Red51
858613.0
565811.2
818818.5
Blue59
327627.7
375510.7
8778.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26480102030406070805159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8188
#36
18.52.7
10.313.0
Auto8.5
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 9.2
27.71.8
21.122.9
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Second
8586
#43
13.02.7
6.08.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End0.6
red by 2.4
3755
#27
10.71.8
10.111.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Third
5658
#49
11.22.7
10.012.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
red by 3.1
877
#44
8.11.8
9.311.1
Auto4.8
Teleop2.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed