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Red64
88784.8
614625.0
725720.5
Blue42
38718.9
305816.9
974519.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554620304050607080906442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.01.7
22.724.4
Auto9.6
Teleop13.4
End2.0
red by 5.8
9745
#21
19.20.1
16.816.7
Auto11.9
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Second
20.51.7
18.520.2
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 3.6
3058
#25
16.90.1
14.214.0
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End1.6
Third
8878
#55
4.81.7
7.79.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.3
End1.0
blue by 4.0
3871
#51
8.90.1
12.011.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed