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Red71
288321.8
253022.2
423918.9
Blue64
517224.4
453619.0
614625.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63674050607080907164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.5
20.522.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End3.1
blue by 2.8
25.00.4
24.424.9
Auto9.6
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Second
2883
#12
21.81.5
18.219.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.8
blue by 2.6
5172
#11
24.40.4
22.522.9
Auto6.4
Teleop17.2
End0.9
Third
18.91.5
18.520.0
Auto7.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
blue by 0.1
4536
#17
19.00.4
13.113.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed