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Red61
305816.9
250014.9
265413.9
Blue68
327627.7
466315.1
419815.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416420801006168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3058
#25
16.91.1
15.516.7
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End1.6
blue by 10.8
27.70.7
25.926.6
Auto10.2
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Second
2500
#42
14.91.1
13.614.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 0.2
4663
#26
15.10.6
13.414.0
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Third
2654
#34
13.91.1
11.012.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.5
End1.5
blue by 1.2
15.10.6
15.816.4
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed