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Red58
42389.5
818818.5
304211.1
Blue48
327717.8
702818.8
38718.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37481020306070805848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8188
#36
18.51.4
14.816.2
Auto8.5
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 0.3
7028
#45
18.80.6
15.416.0
Auto9.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Second
3042
#47
11.11.4
10.612.1
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 6.8
3277
#14
17.80.7
18.619.3
Auto7.4
Teleop9.8
End0.7
Third
4238
#53
9.51.4
9.711.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End1.1
red by 0.7
3871
#51
8.90.6
8.18.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed