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Red47
957619.2
704812.5
375510.7
Blue67
974519.2
825512.3
617521.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3857020801004767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9576
#15
19.21.1
15.316.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End2.0
blue by 1.7
6175
#22
21.01.2
18.920.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End1.3
Second
7048
#37
12.51.0
11.512.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End0.7
blue by 6.7
9745
#21
19.21.2
19.520.7
Auto11.9
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Third
3755
#27
10.71.0
9.610.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End2.0
blue by 1.6
8255
#38
12.31.2
11.112.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed