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Red65
974519.2
253022.2
329326.3
Blue63
725720.5
423918.9
313418.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855620401001201406563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.3
28.328.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.5
End5.7
red by 5.8
20.50.3
19.519.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Second
22.20.3
24.223.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End3.1
red by 3.3
18.90.3
18.018.2
Auto7.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
Third
9745
#21
19.20.3
21.220.9
Auto11.9
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 1.2
3134
#13
18.00.3
17.117.3
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5