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Red129
172922.6
13134.0
632943.8
Blue69
346746.7
12544.4
804620.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10613340608012016018012969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#13
43.80.6
43.343.9
Auto12.8
Teleop28.5
End2.5
blue by 2.9
46.71.1
48.647.6
Auto14.1
Teleop30.1
End2.5
Second
131
#2
34.00.6
33.534.1
Auto12.6
Teleop14.8
End6.6
blue by 10.4
125
#1
44.41.1
46.345.2
Auto17.4
Teleop20.8
End6.2
Third
1729
#24
22.60.6
22.122.7
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End2.2
red by 2.1
8046
#19
20.51.1
22.421.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End1.2