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Red63
107118.0
910115.7
172922.6
Blue80
944328.7
514222.5
99926.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60892040801001201406380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#24
22.60.3
21.120.8
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End2.2
blue by 6.1
9443
#15
28.70.6
24.624.0
Auto13.0
Teleop12.5
End3.2
Second
1071
#43
18.00.3
16.916.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.7
blue by 8.6
999
#17
26.60.6
30.029.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.1
End2.6
Third
9101
#47
15.70.3
20.019.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 6.8
5142
#27
22.50.6
22.321.7
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned48%Ensemble oddsEarned