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Red95
9521.0
314627.5
12622.6
Blue80
804620.5
862614.7
545922.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786520401001209580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.7
23.624.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.2
End3.1
red by 4.8
5459
#32
22.81.3
18.920.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End2.6
Second
126
#21
22.60.7
21.722.4
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 2.1
8046
#19
20.51.3
23.324.6
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Third
95
#28
21.00.7
23.724.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End3.0
red by 6.3
8626
#48
14.71.3
17.919.2
Auto9.9
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed