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Red87
454626.1
693328.2
12622.6
Blue124
346121.6
13134.0
346746.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79108406010012014016087124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6933
#40
28.20.5
29.129.5
Auto12.0
Teleop14.3
End1.9
blue by 18.5
46.71.7
44.746.4
Auto14.1
Teleop30.1
End2.5
Second
4546
#46
26.10.5
22.623.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End0.9
blue by 7.9
131
#2
34.01.7
29.030.7
Auto12.6
Teleop14.8
End6.6
Third
126
#21
22.60.5
23.524.0
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 0.9
3461
#36
21.61.7
20.922.6
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsEarned