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Red51
17224.3
944328.7
596218.4
Blue114
31923.5
573531.7
404827.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6499020408012014016051114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9443
#15
28.70.7
25.825.0
Auto13.0
Teleop12.5
End3.2
blue by 3.0
5735
#25
31.70.1
31.731.6
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End2.4
Second
172
#44
24.30.7
19.618.9
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End2.5
blue by 3.2
4048
#37
27.50.1
31.731.6
Auto11.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Third
5962
#45
18.40.7
16.615.9
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End-0.0
blue by 5.1
319
#31
23.50.1
22.122.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned