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Red84
456431.8
15520.3
66317.7
Blue80
454626.1
105832.8
804620.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80852040601001201401608480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#20
31.80.3
31.631.9
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
blue by 1.0
1058
#16
32.80.3
30.030.3
Auto12.2
Teleop18.2
End2.4
Second
155
#35
20.30.3
20.921.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 5.7
4546
#46
26.10.3
24.724.9
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End0.9
Third
663
#34
17.70.3
20.620.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
blue by 2.7
8046
#19
20.50.3
21.421.7
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed