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Red68
862614.7
287624.6
910115.7
Blue82
13134.0
12622.6
404121.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions599002040801001201401606882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#29
24.60.5
22.422.9
Auto11.3
Teleop11.4
End1.8
blue by 9.4
131
#2
34.00.3
32.733.0
Auto12.6
Teleop14.8
End6.6
Second
9101
#47
15.70.5
18.318.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 6.9
126
#21
22.60.3
25.225.4
Auto7.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Third
8626
#48
14.70.5
16.316.7
Auto9.9
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 6.8
4041
#42
21.50.3
20.020.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed64%Ensemble oddsEarned