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Red128
12544.4
740734.8
318222.6
Blue94
632943.8
454626.1
31923.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113102608012014016018012894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
44.40.2
44.044.2
Auto17.4
Teleop20.8
End6.2
red by 0.6
6329
#13
43.80.0
45.845.8
Auto12.8
Teleop28.5
End2.5
Second
34.80.2
34.734.8
Auto11.5
Teleop17.3
End6.1
red by 8.7
4546
#46
26.10.0
24.024.1
Auto9.9
Teleop15.2
End0.9
Third
3182
#41
22.60.2
22.022.2
Auto9.2
Teleop10.7
End2.7
blue by 0.9
319
#31
23.50.0
23.723.7
Auto5.3
Teleop16.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
83%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed