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Red105
944328.7
314627.5
105832.8
Blue66
66317.7
115332.7
9521.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918220406010012014016010566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#16
32.81.6
32.734.3
Auto12.2
Teleop18.2
End2.4
red by 0.1
32.70.6
30.529.9
Auto12.7
Teleop16.1
End4.0
Second
9443
#15
28.71.6
26.728.3
Auto13.0
Teleop12.5
End3.2
red by 7.7
95
#28
21.00.6
21.921.3
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Third
27.51.6
22.023.6
Auto10.2
Teleop14.2
End3.1
red by 9.8
663
#34
17.70.6
22.722.1
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned43%Ensemble oddsEarned