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Red60
24621.6
693328.2
318222.6
Blue117
740734.8
314627.5
17224.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8288406010012014060117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6933
#40
28.21.0
29.528.5
Auto12.0
Teleop14.3
End1.9
blue by 6.6
34.82.6
34.837.4
Auto11.5
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
3182
#41
22.61.0
22.221.2
Auto9.2
Teleop10.7
End2.7
blue by 4.9
27.52.6
23.626.2
Auto10.2
Teleop14.2
End3.1
Third
246
#38
21.61.0
23.122.1
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End0.5
blue by 2.8
172
#44
24.32.6
20.122.7
Auto9.9
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed74%Ensemble oddsEarned