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Red58
404827.5
66317.7
172922.6
Blue73
862614.7
5831.5
693328.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828402040601001201401605873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#37
27.51.8
31.129.4
Auto11.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6
blue by 3.9
58
#5
31.50.9
32.231.3
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End2.2
Second
1729
#24
22.61.8
22.921.1
Auto8.5
Teleop12.0
End2.2
blue by 5.6
6933
#40
28.20.9
28.527.6
Auto12.0
Teleop14.3
End1.9
Third
663
#34
17.71.8
20.318.5
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
red by 3.0
8626
#48
14.70.9
15.214.3
Auto9.9
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed