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Red70
287624.6
23630.0
804620.5
Blue116
346746.7
174029.4
581335.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81129406010012014016018070116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#12
30.00.6
30.630.0
Auto10.9
Teleop9.6
End9.5
blue by 16.7
46.70.3
46.446.7
Auto14.1
Teleop30.1
End2.5
Second
2876
#29
24.60.6
23.222.6
Auto11.3
Teleop11.4
End1.8
blue by 11.1
5813
#11
35.70.3
35.836.2
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End5.4
Third
8046
#19
20.50.6
25.424.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.5
End1.2
blue by 8.9
1740
#18
29.40.3
29.129.4
Auto12.0
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsEarned47%Ensemble oddsEarned