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Red115
115332.7
456431.8
31923.5
Blue53
13134.0
107118.0
870817.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947520406012014011553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.71.5
30.331.8
Auto12.7
Teleop16.1
End4.0
blue by 1.3
131
#2
34.01.1
34.233.0
Auto12.6
Teleop14.8
End6.6
Second
4564
#20
31.81.5
30.331.7
Auto12.4
Teleop15.9
End3.5
red by 13.8
1071
#43
18.01.1
18.317.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Third
319
#31
23.51.5
22.523.9
Auto5.3
Teleop16.8
End1.5
red by 5.6
8708
#39
17.91.1
17.616.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsEarned79%Ensemble oddsMissed