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Red106
944328.7
115332.7
7834.4
Blue112
237030.5
581335.7
5831.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031048090100110120130106112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#10
34.40.2
33.934.1
Auto9.6
Teleop21.3
End3.5
blue by 1.3
5813
#11
35.70.4
34.234.6
Auto13.2
Teleop17.2
End5.4
Second
32.70.2
32.232.4
Auto12.7
Teleop16.1
End4.0
red by 1.2
58
#5
31.50.4
29.930.3
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End2.2
Third
9443
#15
28.70.2
28.228.4
Auto13.0
Teleop12.5
End3.2
blue by 1.8
2370
#14
30.50.4
29.029.4
Auto7.5
Teleop20.5
End2.5