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Red121
404827.5
740734.8
13341.7
Blue79
573531.7
105832.8
17525.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1179605015020012179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
41.70.4
41.441.8
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End7.5
red by 8.9
1058
#16
32.80.2
32.732.4
Auto12.2
Teleop18.2
End2.4
Second
34.80.4
34.534.8
Auto11.5
Teleop17.3
End6.1
red by 3.0
5735
#25
31.70.2
31.631.4
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End2.4
Third
4048
#37
27.50.4
27.227.6
Auto11.3
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 2.1
175
#6
25.40.2
25.325.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.9