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Red66
110026.2
50919.9
83920.7
Blue58
841021.7
791322.1
207918.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74700501001506658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#33
26.20.0
28.328.2
Auto8.8
Teleop15.5
End1.9
red by 4.1
7913
#31
22.10.7
21.420.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Second
839
#19
20.70.0
17.517.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.6
blue by 1.0
8410
#37
21.70.7
19.018.3
Auto6.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
Third
509
#39
19.90.0
20.920.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End3.3
red by 1.9
2079
#43
18.00.7
23.322.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed