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Red72
111921.3
490931.0
192232.7
Blue76
83920.7
169939.8
242322.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88840501001502007276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#12
32.70.5
31.531.0
Auto9.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
blue by 7.1
39.80.4
36.436.0
Auto13.4
Teleop23.5
End2.9
Second
4909
#13
31.00.5
31.831.4
Auto13.3
Teleop14.5
End3.2
red by 8.9
2423
#24
22.00.4
21.621.2
Auto7.2
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Third
1119
#28
21.30.5
15.515.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End2.3
red by 0.5
839
#19
20.70.4
18.818.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned44%Ensemble oddsEarned