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Red107
791322.1
169939.8
192232.7
Blue91
8836.6
808528.3
542226.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95100608012014010791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.0
35.936.9
Auto13.4
Teleop23.5
End2.9
red by 3.2
88
#17
36.60.1
34.034.1
Auto12.3
Teleop19.2
End5.1
Second
1922
#12
32.71.0
31.032.0
Auto9.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
red by 4.3
28.30.1
28.728.7
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
Third
7913
#31
22.11.0
20.021.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 4.6
5422
#22
26.70.1
27.527.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsEarned84%Ensemble oddsMissed