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Red68
19028.7
23816.5
854418.8
Blue103
169939.8
542226.7
17640.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57128010015020068103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#30
28.70.4
32.432.8
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End2.2
blue by 11.7
176
#11
40.40.6
46.245.5
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End1.4
Second
8544
#36
18.80.4
16.016.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.6
blue by 21.0
39.80.6
36.335.7
Auto13.4
Teleop23.5
End2.9
Third
238
#38
16.50.4
11.712.1
Auto7.4
Teleop6.2
End2.9
blue by 10.2
5422
#22
26.70.6
25.124.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed