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Red74
447319.8
17324.0
972919.6
Blue101
83920.7
8836.6
199114.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6373020408010012074101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#23
24.01.1
20.421.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
blue by 12.6
88
#17
36.61.8
34.135.9
Auto12.3
Teleop19.2
End5.1
Second
4473
#44
19.81.1
17.318.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.6
End1.8
blue by 0.9
839
#19
20.71.8
19.120.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Third
9729
#41
19.61.1
20.221.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End2.0
red by 5.4
1991
#42
14.21.8
11.913.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsEarned