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Red81
216823.2
808528.3
147418.4
Blue105
490931.0
83920.7
801338.8
13%Model gave it87%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719640608012014081105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.9
29.230.1
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
blue by 10.5
38.81.4
36.638.0
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Second
23.20.9
22.323.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
blue by 7.7
4909
#13
31.01.4
28.429.8
Auto13.3
Teleop14.5
End3.2
Third
1474
#40
18.40.9
15.416.3
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 2.4
839
#19
20.71.4
18.820.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsEarned60%Ensemble oddsMissed