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Red98
854418.8
17640.4
870927.3
Blue94
287732.2
199114.2
490931.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100802040601201401609894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#11
40.40.0
41.941.9
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End1.4
red by 8.2
2877
#26
32.21.0
31.432.3
Auto11.3
Teleop18.6
End2.4
Second
27.30.0
27.127.1
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
blue by 3.6
4909
#13
31.01.0
29.830.8
Auto13.3
Teleop14.5
End3.2
Third
8544
#36
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.6
red by 4.6
1991
#42
14.21.0
13.314.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsEarned