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Red55
207918.0
135019.1
971013.1
Blue94
447319.8
147418.4
111921.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56593040507080905594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1350
#46
19.10.2
18.819.1
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End2.3
blue by 2.2
1119
#28
21.32.0
19.221.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End2.3
Second
2079
#43
18.00.2
19.719.9
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End1.1
blue by 1.7
4473
#44
19.82.0
17.719.8
Auto6.5
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Third
9710
#48
13.10.2
12.813.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End0.7
blue by 5.3
1474
#40
18.42.0
16.318.4
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned