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Red77
19028.7
972919.6
50919.9
Blue144
192232.7
568742.8
271335.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691245010015020077144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#30
28.70.3
30.030.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End2.2
blue by 14.1
42.81.7
41.543.2
Auto11.8
Teleop28.7
End2.3
Second
509
#39
19.90.3
19.619.9
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End3.3
blue by 15.6
2713
#18
35.51.7
33.735.4
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End1.5
Third
9729
#41
19.60.3
19.319.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End2.0
blue by 13.1
1922
#12
32.71.7
30.932.6
Auto9.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed63%Ensemble oddsEarned