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Red71
19028.7
206736.2
808528.3
Blue103
801338.8
19535.7
511212.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107955015020071103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#10
36.20.6
36.836.2
Auto15.6
Teleop14.9
End5.7
blue by 2.6
38.80.4
38.739.1
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Second
190
#30
28.70.6
29.428.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End2.2
blue by 7.0
195
#21
35.70.4
35.736.0
Auto12.0
Teleop21.7
End2.0
Third
28.30.6
29.028.3
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
red by 15.7
5112
#45
12.70.4
12.613.0
Auto8.0
Teleop4.0
End0.8