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Red109
172922.0
13133.4
632943.2
Blue114
801339.4
19536.4
511213.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11395406080120140160180109114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
Unranked
43.20.1
43.743.6
Auto13.2
Teleop27.5
End2.4
red by 3.7
8013
Unranked
39.40.2
39.039.3
Auto11.9
Teleop21.0
End6.5
Second
131
Unranked
33.40.1
33.933.8
Auto13.0
Teleop13.8
End6.6
blue by 3.0
195
Unranked
36.40.2
36.036.2
Auto12.1
Teleop22.0
End2.2
Third
1729
Unranked
22.00.1
22.522.4
Auto8.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 8.6
5112
Unranked
13.30.2
12.913.2
Auto8.1
Teleop4.3
End1.0