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Red74
291050.2
502429.4
335412.2
Blue92
580439.9
439228.9
591415.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97894060801201401607492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#21
50.21.2
45.944.7
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End2.6
red by 10.4
5804
#37
39.90.4
36.036.4
Auto11.4
Teleop25.3
End3.1
Second
5024
#23
29.41.2
27.326.1
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
red by 0.4
4392
#16
28.90.4
25.826.2
Auto13.2
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Third
3354
#61
12.21.2
13.812.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.1
blue by 3.1
5914
#68
15.30.4
19.419.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed