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Red51
347632.0
31634.1
77486.0
Blue149
61031.4
291050.2
350631.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801215010015020051149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#27
34.11.7
35.533.7
Auto12.1
Teleop18.3
End3.7
blue by 16.1
2910
#21
50.22.3
47.449.7
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End2.6
Second
3476
#25
32.01.7
32.731.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End3.9
red by 0.7
31.42.3
28.530.8
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End0.5
Third
7748
#73
6.01.7
8.97.1
Auto5.0
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
blue by 25.3
610
#54
31.42.3
28.530.8
Auto10.6
Teleop21.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned