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Red100
341435.0
347317.2
756522.7
Blue77
947710.2
301532.4
760521.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786820406010010077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#30
35.01.9
32.334.2
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End1.3
red by 2.6
3015
#51
32.40.9
30.731.6
Auto14.2
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Second
7565
#59
22.71.9
22.424.3
Auto6.3
Teleop16.2
End0.2
red by 0.8
7605
#64
21.80.9
21.021.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Third
3473
#56
17.21.9
14.616.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End1.5
red by 7.0
9477
#74
10.20.9
11.212.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsEarned