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Red63
636631.4
947511.1
760521.8
Blue183
132359.8
291050.2
35947.6
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53193010015025030063183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6366
#42
31.40.1
31.531.4
Auto8.2
Teleop21.5
End1.7
blue by 28.4
59.81.1
59.560.6
Auto19.7
Teleop32.2
End8.0
Second
7605
#64
21.80.1
21.921.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End2.6
blue by 28.4
2910
#21
50.21.1
49.750.8
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End2.6
Third
9475
#67
11.10.1
11.211.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End1.2
blue by 36.5
359
#6
47.61.1
48.649.7
Auto15.3
Teleop25.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed100%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed96%Ensemble oddsEarned