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Red147
432927.2
297446.3
291050.2
Blue95
301532.4
561432.7
335412.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138755010015020014795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#21
50.20.0
44.744.7
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End2.6
red by 17.6
5614
#50
32.70.6
29.029.7
Auto12.9
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Second
46.30.0
45.745.7
Auto14.7
Teleop30.4
End1.2
red by 13.9
3015
#51
32.40.6
33.634.2
Auto14.2
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Third
4329
#29
27.20.0
26.626.6
Auto7.1
Teleop17.9
End2.1
red by 15.0
3354
#61
12.20.6
12.613.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned54%Ensemble oddsEarned