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Red112
347632.0
276745.4
88826.6
Blue79
947710.2
413032.9
460739.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139240608010014016018011279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.8
45.546.3
Auto13.8
Teleop25.0
End6.6
red by 6.2
4607
#13
39.20.5
39.539.0
Auto11.2
Teleop23.7
End4.3
Second
3476
#25
32.00.8
29.029.8
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End3.9
blue by 0.8
4130
#43
32.90.5
33.633.1
Auto9.3
Teleop21.2
End2.4
Third
888
#32
26.60.8
25.226.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End2.7
red by 16.3
9477
#74
10.20.5
13.012.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
60%Ensemble oddsEarned41%Ensemble oddsMissed