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Red72
36911.8
591415.3
691932.9
Blue89
403940.2
756522.7
8532.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5711802040801001401607289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6919
#18
32.90.9
32.233.0
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.8
blue by 7.3
4039
#36
40.20.7
40.539.9
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Second
5914
#68
15.30.9
16.817.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End0.6
blue by 17.2
85
#44
32.60.7
33.733.0
Auto11.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
Third
369
#62
11.80.9
10.111.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 10.9
7565
#59
22.70.7
24.924.3
Auto6.3
Teleop16.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed