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Red60
644340.6
593318.4
319626.4
Blue78
189119.0
413032.9
341435.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions838860701001101201306078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#10
40.61.1
35.834.8
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End2.3
red by 5.6
3414
#30
35.00.1
27.027.0
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End1.3
Second
3196
#60
26.41.1
25.824.7
Auto6.7
Teleop18.9
End0.8
blue by 6.5
4130
#43
32.90.1
32.432.3
Auto9.3
Teleop21.2
End2.4
Third
5933
#55
18.41.1
14.313.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End2.8
blue by 0.6
1891
#48
19.00.1
19.719.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed