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Red92
593318.4
102531.3
439228.9
Blue76
87809.9
177846.7
77486.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80662040601001201409276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#15
31.31.4
28.329.7
Auto10.9
Teleop15.2
End5.1
blue by 15.5
1778
#20
46.70.6
44.845.4
Auto13.8
Teleop28.8
End4.2
Second
4392
#16
28.91.4
26.628.0
Auto13.2
Teleop13.6
End2.1
red by 19.1
8780
#63
9.90.6
9.510.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End-0.2
Third
5933
#55
18.41.4
16.117.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End2.8
red by 12.4
7748
#73
6.00.6
7.17.7
Auto5.0
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed