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Red40
593318.4
601415.1
335412.2
Blue98
366342.6
179218.3
276745.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401270501001502004098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5933
#55
18.40.6
18.718.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End2.8
blue by 27.0
45.40.6
43.242.6
Auto13.8
Teleop25.0
End6.6
Second
6014
#41
15.10.6
16.115.5
Auto8.6
Teleop5.3
End1.2
blue by 27.5
42.60.6
41.340.8
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End4.3
Third
3354
#61
12.20.6
12.011.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.1
blue by 6.1
1792
#58
18.30.6
19.819.2
Auto8.3
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsEarned