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Red80
561432.7
179717.4
300816.8
Blue105
350631.4
760521.8
960932.8
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628905010015020080105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#50
32.71.4
32.233.6
Auto12.9
Teleop16.5
End3.3
blue by 0.1
9609
#24
32.81.8
31.733.5
Auto11.8
Teleop17.9
End3.1
Second
1797
#49
17.41.4
13.915.3
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End1.5
blue by 14.0
31.41.8
26.728.5
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End0.5
Third
3008
#57
16.81.4
13.314.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 5.1
7605
#64
21.81.8
19.221.0
Auto7.4
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsEarned