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Red134
177846.7
83635.8
291050.2
Blue83
189119.0
940137.5
711118.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153705010020025013483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#21
50.20.1
47.347.4
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End2.6
red by 12.7
9401
#17
37.50.7
35.936.6
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End2.3
Second
1778
#20
46.70.1
47.747.8
Auto13.8
Teleop28.8
End4.2
red by 27.7
1891
#48
19.00.7
18.218.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End1.6
Third
836
#4
35.80.1
33.933.9
Auto14.4
Teleop16.2
End5.2
red by 17.4
7111
#69
18.40.7
18.819.5
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed