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Red121
366342.6
61031.4
580439.9
Blue157
35947.6
297446.3
393736.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12115650100200121157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.2
42.642.7
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End4.3
blue by 5.0
359
#6
47.60.2
49.749.9
Auto15.3
Teleop25.9
End6.5
Second
5804
#37
39.90.2
39.940.0
Auto11.4
Teleop25.3
End3.1
blue by 6.5
46.30.2
48.448.6
Auto14.7
Teleop30.4
End1.2
Third
610
#54
31.40.2
31.231.4
Auto10.6
Teleop21.1
End-0.3
blue by 5.5
3937
#28
36.90.2
38.939.2
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End4.0