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Red49
16621.3
346719.4
207910.2
Blue54
804611.0
13128.4
632833.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions559902040801201401604954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#5
21.30.5
21.821.3
Auto11.5
Teleop8.0
End1.8
blue by 12.7
33.92.1
36.734.6
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
Second
19.40.5
20.319.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 9.0
131
#6
28.42.1
33.030.9
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
Third
2079
#17
10.20.5
12.612.0
Auto6.6
Teleop3.7
End-0.1
blue by 0.8
8046
#18
11.02.1
15.213.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed73%Ensemble oddsMissed