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Red74
192220.9
454625.9
172918.0
Blue99
5823.8
13135.5
50112.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687740601001207499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#12
25.90.2
25.425.6
Auto11.7
Teleop14.1
End0.2
blue by 9.6
131
#15
35.50.5
34.434.9
Auto12.3
Teleop16.2
End7.0
Second
1922
#23
20.90.2
20.420.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End2.7
blue by 2.8
58
#4
23.80.5
22.723.1
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End2.1
Third
1729
#17
18.00.2
17.517.7
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2
red by 5.4
501
#19
12.60.5
11.512.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1