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Red85
76745.9
237029.5
346723.2
Blue45
490923.2
81112.1
841010.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645101001508545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.3
28.929.2
Auto8.9
Teleop19.9
End0.7
red by 6.3
4909
#11
23.20.1
23.923.8
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Second
3467
#18
23.20.3
22.622.8
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End2.8
red by 11.0
811
#13
12.10.1
12.812.8
Auto6.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Third
7674
#20
5.90.3
5.35.6
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End1.1
blue by 4.4
10.30.1
11.010.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End2.0