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Red70
76745.9
237029.5
346723.2
Blue93
804618.5
271321.8
13328.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62770501001507093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.1
29.429.5
Auto8.9
Teleop19.9
End0.7
red by 0.9
133
#10
28.60.3
28.128.4
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End5.2
Second
3467
#18
23.20.1
23.123.2
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End2.8
red by 1.3
2713
#14
21.80.3
21.321.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End0.4
Third
7674
#20
5.90.1
5.85.9
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End1.1
blue by 12.6
8046
#16
18.50.3
18.018.3
Auto8.7
Teleop9.6
End0.2